Exposures & Activity

Market-Implied Ratings

In the table below, Moody’s Analytics Capital Markets Research Group provides Market-Implied Ratings Data for the top ten improvements and deteriorations in credit risk for the past week. Market-Implied Ratings compare the market price for a given company to market-wide measures in a particular asset class. An implied rating is derived by comparing a given company’s trading level to median market prices for each rating category.

For more information on Market-Implied Ratings, please read Moody's Market-Implied Ratings FAQ.

The ViewPoints paper Measuring the Credit Risk of Synthetic CDOs with CDS-Implied Ratings* demonstrates how CDS-implied ratings for corporate reference entities can be used to derive CDS-implied tranche ratings for corporate synthetic CDOs (CSOs). Moody’s analytic CDO ratings model (CDOROM) provided the structure for this analysis.

One result of the financial crisis is that the credit markets’ current performance differs considerably from that of the past, so analyses of historic market data must be adjusted to take current conditions into account. The ViewPoints paper -3 is the New Zero; How to Interpret CDS-Market Implied Rating Signals in a Time of Financial Crisis* explores how users of Moody’s Market Implied Ratings platform can apply MIR data to analyses of ratings change risk and relative value.

*Note: If you do not already have a Moodys.com username and password, you will be asked to create a free, self-registered account before you are allowed access to this research.

Top 10 CDS-Implied Rating Improvements – US

Name Current Senior Unsecured or Equivalent Rating Current week’s CDS-Implied Rating Previous week’s CDS-Implied Rating Current week’s Bond-Implied Rating Current week’s Equity-Implied Rating
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Caa3 Caa3 Ca C Caa1
Toyota Credit Canada Inc. Aa2 Baa1 Baa2 Aa2
American Honda Finance Corporation A1 A3 Baa1 A1
Countrywide Financial Corporation A2 Baa3 Ba1 Baa3
News America Incorporated Baa1 A3 Baa1 Baa1
Berkshire Hathaway Finance Corporation Aa2 Baa2 Baa3 Aa2
MGM Resorts International Caa1 B3 Caa1 Caa1 Caa3
Dish DBS Corporation Ba3 Ba3 B1 Ba2
Caesars Entertainment Operating Company, Inc. Ca Caa2 Caa3 C
Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The) Baa3 Baa3 Ba1 Baa3 Caa1

Data current as of February 3, 2012


Top 10 CDS-Implied Rating Deteriorations – US

Name Current Senior Unsecured or Equivalent Rating Current week’s CDS-Implied Rating Previous week’s CDS-Implied Rating Current week’s Bond-Implied Rating Current week’s Equity-Implied Rating
Lowe's Companies, Inc. A1 A2 Aa2 Aa2 Baa3
Capital One Bank (USA), N.A. A3 Baa1 A2 Aa3
CBS Corporation Baa3 A3 A1 Baa2 Ba3
Eaton Corporation A3 A1 Aa2 Aa3 Baa1
American Electric Power Company, Inc. Baa2 A1 Aa2 Baa1 Ba1
Sears Holdings Corp. Ba2 B2 Ba3 Caa2 B3
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) A3 A2 Aa3 Aa2 Aa3
National Oilwell Varco, Inc. A3 Aa3 Aa1 Baa1 Baa2
Morgan Stanley A2 Ba1 Baa3 Baa3 B2
Bank of America Corporation A2 Ba1 Baa3 Baa3 Caa1

Data current as of February 3, 2012


Top 10 CDS-Implied Rating Improvements – Europe

Name Current Senior Unsecured or Equivalent Rating Current week’s CDS-Implied Rating Previous week’s CDS-Implied Rating Current week’s Bond-Implied Rating Current week’s Equity-Implied Rating
Lloyds TSB Bank Plc Aa3 Ba1 Ba2 Baa3
Danske Bank A/S A2 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1 Baa2
Deutsche Bank AG Aa3 Baa1 Baa2 A1 B3
Caja de Ahorros y Pensiones de Barcelona Aa2 Ba2 Ba3 Baa3
Banque Federative du Credit Mutuel Aa3 Baa2 Baa3 A3
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Caa3 Caa3 Ca C Caa1
ABN AMRO Bank N.V. Aa3 Baa2 Baa3 Baa1
Santander UK PLC A3 Baa3 Ba1 Ba2
Commerzbank AG A2 Baa3 Ba1 Baa1 Baa2
Caixa Catalunya, Tarragona i Manresa Ba1 B1 B2

Data current as of February 3, 2012


Top 10 CDS-Implied Rating Deteriorations – Europe

Name Current Senior Unsecured or Equivalent Rating Current week’s CDS-Implied Rating Previous week’s CDS-Implied Rating Current week’s Bond-Implied Rating Current week’s Equity-Implied Rating
Rabobank Nederland Aaa A1 Aa2 Aa2
Piraeus Bank S.A. B3 Ca Caa2 Caa2
SABMiller Plc Baa1 Baa2 A3 A3 Aaa
Fortum Oyj A2 A1 Aa2 Aa2 A3
Royal Philips Electronics N.V. A3 Baa1 A2 A2 Baa1
Landwirtschaftliche Rentenbank Aaa Aa2 Aa1 Aaa
DZ BANK AG Deutsche Zentral-Genossenschaftsb. Aa3 Baa2 Baa1 Aa3
Svenska Handelsbanken AB Aa2 Aa2 Aa1 A1 Baa1
DNB NOR Bank ASA Aa3 A3 A2 Aa2
Electricite de France Aa3 A3 A2 Aa2 B2

Data current as of February 3, 2012


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